New way to assign PAV ownership - include "captive riders" and consider geographic restrictions in 2030 and 2040.
"Captive Riders" PAVs of generation 5 will open up new opportunities to "captive riders", aka those who currently are not allowed to drive cars. Giving at least some of them the option to use a private vehicle is important, since it is not reasonable to assume that they will not purchase PAVs, especially in 2050, at which point we assume PAVs can drive autonomously everywhere, all the time. Some captive riders, whose activities fall entirely or mostly within the AV-operation zones in 2040, may purchase a PAV as early as 2040.
What is tricky is to decide which and how many captive riders decide to purchase a Level 5 PAV. TP5 only delivers the total # of private vehicles in Switzerland at a given time and the % of those private vehicles that are AVs. I need to decide WHO owns them.
Geographic Restrictions in 2030 and 2040 The purchase of PAVs in 2030 and 2040 will only be made by persons whose routes make use of the AV-Operation zones. I need to decide on reasonable assumptions as to what "make use of" will be. Perhaps the insights provided by TP6, stating that travel time is only truly used as productive time as of about 60min of uninterrupted travel, could be a starting point.